Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Jul 7, 2020 at 6pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Chelsea

Zaha (34'), Benteke (72')
Milivojevic (35')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Giroud (6'), Pulisic (27'), Abraham (71')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on July 7, 2020

Frank Lampard unhappy at lack of control from Chelsea during victory over Palace

The Blues boss felt his side should have had their game against Crystal Palace wrapped up.

Jul 7, 22:16

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Chelsea
16.8%	21.53%	61.66%

Both teams to score 50.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.64%

46.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35%

68.64%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09%

40.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52%

77.47%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49%

14.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49%

42.51%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 16.8%

Chelsea 61.65%

Draw 21.53%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 5.3% 2-1 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.8%	1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.53%	0-1 @ 11.45% 0-2 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.84% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.65%