Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Jun 21, 2020 at 4.15pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Chelsea

Hause (43')
Konsa (45'), Grealish (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pulisic (60'), Giroud (62')
Kante (90+4')
Kante (90+4')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard on June 21, 2020

Frank Lampard calls on Chelsea to raise game in final push for top four

Chelsea are five points clear of Manchester United and Wolves in the Premier League.

Jun 22, 10:39

Callum Hudson-Odoi scores for Chelsea on January 11, 2020

Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.

Jun 22, 10:21

Christian Pulisic scores a second for Chelsea against Crystal Palace on November 9, 2019

Frank Lampard: 'Christian Pulisic will be a big player for Chelsea'

Chelsea moved five points clear of Manchester United and Wolves with win at Aston Villa.

Jun 21, 18:43

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Chelsea
18.57%	19.58%	61.85%

Both teams to score 61.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.76%

34.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.86%

56.14%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38%

31.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97%

68.03%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.3%

10.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.39%

34.61%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 18.57%

Chelsea 61.85%

Draw 19.58%

Aston Villa	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 5.01% 1-0 @ 3.9% 2-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-1 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.35% Total : 18.57%	1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.58%	1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 7.25% 0-3 @ 6.3% 2-3 @ 4.17% 1-4 @ 4.05% 0-4 @ 3.52% 2-4 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.81% 0-5 @ 1.57% 2-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.06% Total : 61.85%