Premier League

Attendance: 40,867

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Jan 21, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Aston Villa
2-1
Watford

Luiz (68'), Mings (95')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Deeney (38')

Reaction

Watford's Troy Deeney celebrates scoring their first goal with Abdoulaye Doucoure on January 21, 2020

Ezri Konsa: 'Troy Deeney celebrations inspired Aston Villa comeback'

Villa climbed out of the relegation zone after a late win over Watford.

Jan 22, 22:36

Aston Villa boss Dean Smith on January 21, 2020

Dean Smith calls for concentration as Villa move out of drop zone

Tyrone Mings deflected in Ezri Konsa's shot to earn Aston Villa a crucial victory.

Jan 22, 07:40

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%).

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Watford
49.3%	22.85%	27.85%

Both teams to score 61.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06%

38.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74%

61.26%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95%

16.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58%

45.42%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44%

26.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22%

61.78%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 49.3%

Watford 27.85%

Draw 22.85%

Aston Villa	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.63% Total : 49.3%	1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 6.85% 0-1 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.85%