Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a win it was 0-1 (8.84%).
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 48.13% | 26.86% | 25.02% |
| Both teams to score 46.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.28% | 57.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% | 78.47% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% | 24.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% | 38.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% | 75.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.02% |