Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Jun 25, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 1
Man City

Pulisic (36'), Willian (78' pen.)
Alonso (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Bruyne (55')
De Bruyne (76')
Fernandinho (77')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured against Chelsea on June 25, 2020

Pep Guardiola expecting Chelsea, Man Utd, Arsenal to compete for title next term

Pep Guardiola believes teams like Chelsea and Manchester United will improve for next year.

Jun 26, 14:49

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on June 25, 2020

Chelsea boss Frank Lampard insists top-four race is not over

The Blues have a healthy five-point lead over the chasing pack.

Jun 26, 10:36

Pep Guardiola vows to bounce back after "fantastic" Liverpool win title

Liverpool have won the top flight for the first time since 1990.

Jun 25, 23:01

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
28.6%	22.93%	48.46%

Both teams to score 61.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.18%

38.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.87%

61.12%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01%

25.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99%

61.01%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69%

16.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.11%

45.88%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 28.6%

Manchester City 48.46%

Draw 22.92%

Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 6.98% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.6%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 9.39% 0-1 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 5.68% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.73% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.46%