Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
| 30.6% | 26.08% | 43.32% |
| Both teams to score 52.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% | 51.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% | 73.51% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% | 31.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% | 23.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% | 57.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.31% |