Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
| 30.97% | 25.96% | 43.07% |
| Both teams to score 53.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% | 72.95% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% | 30.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% | 66.81% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% | 57.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 2% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.06% |