Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
3 - 1
Burnley

Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')

Reaction

Allan Saint-Maximin celebrates scoring for Newcastle United on October 3, 2020

Steve Bruce: 'Allan Saint-Maximin has breathtaking ability'

The Frenchman starred on his return from injury.

Oct 4, 07:58

Newcastle United's Callum Wilson scores against Burnley in the Premier League on October 3, 2020

Steve Bruce talks up "fabulous" Callum Wilson

The summer signing scored his third and fourth Premier League goals for the club in Saturday night's 3-1 win over Burnley at St James' Park.

Oct 4, 07:47

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
38.9%	28.42%	32.67%

Both teams to score 46.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.94%

60.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71%

80.28%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70%

29.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89%

66.11%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99%

34.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31%

70.69%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 38.9%

Burnley 32.67%

Draw 28.41%

Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.9%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.67%