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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
Burnley logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Burnley

Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')

The Match

Match Report

The summer signing has scored four times in as many league games for the Magpies.

Team News

The French winger has sat out the last three games with an ankle problem.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
38.9%28.42%32.67%
Both teams to score 46.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.28%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31%70.69%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 38.9%
    Burnley 32.67%
    Draw 28.41%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.67%

Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 26, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
2-0
Burnley
Schar (24'), Longstaff (38')
Longstaff (22')

Mee (39'), Hendrick (60'), Crouch (88')
Nov 26, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Vokes (40')
Mee (4' og.), Clark (23')
Ritchie (90')
Jan 31, 2018 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-1
Burnley
Lascelles (65')
Yedlin (30')
Darlow (85' og.)
Barnes (63'), Vokes (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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