Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 3
Liverpool

Gayle (1')
Fernandez (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

van Dijk (38'), Origi (59'), Mane (89')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Liverpool
17.24%	21.44%	61.32%

Both teams to score 51.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81%

45.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46%

67.54%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.33%

39.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65%

76.35%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77%

14.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.02%

41.98%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 17.24%

Liverpool 61.31%

Draw 21.43%

Newcastle United	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 5.22% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.41% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.24%	1-1 @ 10.17% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.43%	0-1 @ 11% 0-2 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 6.45% 0-4 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.31%