Premier League Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Dwight Gayle 1' goal
  • Federico Fernandez 33' yellowcard
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 38'
  • goal Divock Origi 59'
  • goal Sadio Mane 89'

Newcastle United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jul 20, 2020 6.00pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Jonjo Shelvey

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Jul 22, 2020 8.15pm
Liverpool 5 - 3 Chelsea
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 17.24%
Draw 21.44%
Liverpool 61.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.81%
Under 2.5 45.19%
Over 3.5 32.46%
Under 3.5 67.54%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 60.33%
Under 0.5 39.67%
Over 1.5 23.65%
Under 1.5 76.35%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 85.77%
Under 0.5 14.23%
Over 1.5 58.02%
Under 1.5 41.98%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 17.24%
Draw 21.43%
Liverpool 61.31%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 5.22%
2-1 @ 4.71%
2-0 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 21.43%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 11%
0-2 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 6.45%
0-4 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.98%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.33%
1-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 61.31%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2019 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Sadio Mane 28' goal
  • Sadio Mane 40' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 72' goal
  • goal Jetro Willems 7'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 4, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
  • Christian Atsu 20' goal
  • Fabian Schar 45' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 54' goal
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 13'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 28'
  • goal Divock Origi 86'
  • yellowcard James Milner 92'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2018 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dejan Lovren 11' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 47' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 79' goal
  • Fabinho 85' goal
Premier League
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 40' goal
  • Sadio Mane 56' goal
Premier League
Oct 1, 2017 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joselu 36' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 55' yellowcard
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 29'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 58'
Premier League
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Daniel Sturridge 2' goal
  • Adam Lallana 30' goal
  • James Milner 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cheick Tiote 22'
  • goal Papiss Cisse 49'
  • goal Jack Colback 66'

Build-up

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