Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Jul 5, 2020 at 2.15pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 2
West Ham

Almiron (17'), Shelvey (67')
Gayle (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Antonio (4'), Soucek (65')

Reaction

West Ham United's Tomas Soucek and Issa Diop celebrate a goal against Newcastle on July 5, 2020

Michail Antonio rues 'two points dropped' for West Ham United

The Hammers are four points clear of the bottom three with five games to play.

Jul 6, 09:39

West Ham United manager David Moyes pictured on July 1, 2020

David Moyes insists West Ham will fight until the end for Premier League status

The Hammers led twice at St James' Park, but had to make do with a point.

Jul 5, 17:40

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	West Ham United
37.64%	27.71%	34.64%

Both teams to score 48.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65%

29.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67%

65.33%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78%

31.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43%

67.56%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 37.64%

West Ham United 34.64%

Draw 27.71%

Newcastle United	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.64%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.64%