Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a win it was 0-1 (8.07%).
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 49.15% | 25.81% | 25.04% |
| Both teams to score 49.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% | 53.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% | 21.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% | 36.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% | 73.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.15% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.81% Total : 25.05% |