Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Jun 24, 2020 at 6pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Gayle (68')
Lascelles (59'), Fernandez (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elmohamady (83')
Luiz (45+1'), Hause (90')

Reaction

Aston Villa manager Dean Smith pictured on June 17, 2020

Dean Smith demands Aston Villa be more ruthless in relegation scrap

Villa remain in the bottom three on goal difference.

Jun 25, 12:52

Newcastle boss Steve Bruce on June 24, 2020

Steve Bruce: 'I should have left Ahmed Elmohamady in Egypt'

The Magpies head coach has signed the Egyptian three times.

Jun 24, 22:12

The Match

Match Report

Magpies boss Steve Bruce has signed the Egyptian for three different clubs.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
41.11%	26.54%	32.36%

Both teams to score 51.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.97%

53.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.38%

74.62%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57%

25.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75%

60.25%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15%

66.85%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.1%

Aston Villa 32.36%

Draw 26.53%

Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.1%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.36%