Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 42.16% | 26.27% | 31.57% |
| Both teams to score 52.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% | 24.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.04% | 58.96% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% | 30.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% | 66.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.57% |