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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
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2-1
Reaction
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F28%2Ftroy-deeney.JPG "Watford's Troy Deeney celebrates scoring against Newcastle United in the Premier League on July 11, 2020")
Troy Deeney: 'We have turned a corner after Newcastle win'
The Hornets are currently six points above the relegation zone.Jul 12, 07:49
Steve Bruce rages at VAR "nonsense" after loss at Watford
The Watford striker scored twice from the penalty spot.Jul 11, 15:59
The Match
Match Report
Dwight Gayle gave Newcastle the lead but the Hornets turned it around to pull six points clear of the drop zone.
Team News
The Hornets boosted their survival hopes with midweek victory over Norwich.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Newcastle United, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.97%).
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 48.77% | 25.64% | 25.59% |
| Both teams to score 50.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% | 52.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% | 74.42% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% | 21.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% | 35.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% | 72.37% |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 48.76%
Newcastle United 25.59%
Draw 25.64%
| Watford | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.76% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.59% |
Build-up
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F26%2Fsteve-bruce_1.jpg "Newcastle boss Steve Bruce on June 24, 2020")
Steve Bruce warns Newcastle United players of Watford threat
The Magpies were trounced 5-0 at the Etihad Stadium last time out.Jul 10, 12:23
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F26%2Fnigel-pearson.jpg "Watford manager Nigel Pearson pictured on June 25, 2020")
Nigel Pearson refuses to put points target on Watford run-in
Watford's season ends with tricky games against Manchester City and Arsenal and may get sucked back into the relegation scrap.Jul 9, 15:38
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