Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Jun 28, 2020 at 4.30pm UK

Vicarage Road Stadium

Watford
1 - 3
Southampton

Bednarek (79' og.)
Dawson (32'), Doucoure (90+5'), Cathcart (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ings (16', 70'), Ward-Prowse (82')

Reaction

Watford goalkeeper Ben Foster pictured in February 2020

Ben Foster challenges Watford to rediscover form from Nigel Pearson's early days

The Hornets have failed to win since the restart and sit one point above the drop zone.

Jun 29, 12:30

Danny Ings celebrates scoring for Southampton on June 28, 2020

Ralph Hasenhuttl talks up Danny Ings Golden Boot chances

Southampton boss knows the important of Danny Ings to his Premier League team.

Jun 28, 19:52

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Southampton
41.01%	25.39%	33.6%

Both teams to score 55.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.11%

47.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.93%

70.07%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81%

23.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92%

57.08%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72%

27.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28%

62.71%

Score Analysis

Watford 41.01%

Southampton 33.6%

Draw 25.39%

Watford	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.01%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.6%