Burnley

1 - 0

Watford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.