Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 1
Southampton

Bardsley (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ings (5')

Reaction

Southampton's Danny Ings celebrates scoring against Burnley in the Premier League on September 26, 2020

Ralph Hasenhuttl: 'We cannot only rely on Danny Ings'

The former Burnley striker scored his 36th goal in 71 appearances for Southampton at Turf Moor.

Sep 26, 22:39

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Southampton
31.06%	26.03%	42.91%

Both teams to score 52.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63%

51.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81%

73.19%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34%

30.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1%

66.9%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23%

23.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07%

57.93%

Score Analysis

Burnley 31.06%

Southampton 42.91%

Draw 26.02%

Burnley	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.06%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 7.52% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.91%