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EFL Cup

Millwall logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Den
Burnley logo

Millwall
0 - 2
Burnley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')

The Match

Match Report

Clarets forward Jay Rodriguez suffered an ankle injury early on at the Den.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Millwall and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
43.87%25.84%30.28%
Both teams to score 53.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08%50.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2%72.8%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89%23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03%56.97%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02%30.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72%67.28%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.87%
    Burnley 30.28%
    Draw 25.85%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.87%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.28%

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