EFL Cup
Sep 5, 2020 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Sam Ashford 33' goal
  • goal Scott Malone 14'
  • goal Jordan Tunnicliffe 31' (OG)
  • goal Matt Smith 60'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 66'

Crawley Town vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Millwall

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Crawley Town 33.41%
Draw 25.59%
Millwall 40.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.13%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.19%
Under 2.5 48.81%
Over 3.5 29.09%
Under 3.5 70.91%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.16%
Under 0.5 27.84%
Over 1.5 36.56%
Under 1.5 63.44%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 76.4%
Under 0.5 23.6%
Over 1.5 42.33%
Under 1.5 57.67%

Score analysis

Crawley Town 33.41%
Draw 25.59%
Millwall 40.99%
Crawley Town
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
Millwall
0-1 @ 9.49%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 4.22%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 40.99%