Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
