Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Jul 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Blackburn

Bennett (20')
Woods (84'), Cooper (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rankin-Costello (1'), Travis (35')

Reaction

Millwall caretaker manager Adam Barrett pictured on October 5, 2019

Millwall assistant delighted to be "in the mix" after Blackburn win

Rovers boss Tony Mowbray was left disappointed after their play-off hopes officially ended.

Jul 14, 22:13

The Match

Match Report

Blackburn can no longer finish in the top six.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship fixture between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
39.35%	26.46%	34.19%

Both teams to score 52.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65%

52.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96%

74.04%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94%

26.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89%

61.11%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92%

29.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35%

65%

Score Analysis

Millwall 39.34%

Blackburn Rovers 34.19%

Draw 26.46%

Millwall	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.34%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.19%