Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Jul 8, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 2
Middlesbrough

Cooper (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Assombalonga (68'), Fletcher (86' pen.)
Assombalonga (66'), Saville (70'), Howson (90+3')

Reaction

Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020

Gary Rowett fumes at referee following Middlesbrough loss

The Lions' play-off hopes suffered a huge blow.

Jul 8, 17:31

The Match

Match Report

Britt Assombalonga and Ashley Fletcher were the scorers.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
38.25%	26.48%	35.27%

Both teams to score 52.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7%

52.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01%

73.99%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36%

26.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12%

61.88%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61%

28.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87%

64.13%

Score Analysis

Millwall 38.25%

Middlesbrough 35.27%

Draw 26.48%

Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.27%