Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 0
Stoke

Thompson (34')

Brown (90')

Reaction

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured on July 4, 2020

Michael O'Neill hits out at referee after Stoke draw with Millwall

Jacob Brown went down under Shaun Hutchinson's challenge but referee Jeremy Simpson instead pointed the other way and booked the Stoke man for diving.

Sep 12, 17:40

The Match

Match Report

Stoke have not won on the opening day of the season since 2009.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Millwall and Stoke City, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
42.26%	27.8%	29.94%

Both teams to score 47.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.43%

58.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.86%

79.13%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62%

27.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16%

62.84%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78%

35.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03%

71.97%

Score Analysis

Millwall 42.25%

Stoke City 29.94%

Draw 27.8%

Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.25%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.94%