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EFL Cup

Newport County
EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newcastle logo

Newport
1 - 1
Newcastle

Abrahams (5')
Amond (31')
FT
(aet)
Shelvey (87')
Shelvey (16')
Newcastle win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Jonjo Shelvey spared the Magpies' blushes with a stunning late equaliser.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round clash between Newport County and Newcastle United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawNewcastle United
42.74%26.73%30.53%
Both teams to score 50.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61%54.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07%59.93%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42%32.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88%69.12%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 42.73%
    Newcastle United 30.53%
    Draw 26.73%
Newport CountyDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.53%

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