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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Newport County |
| 40.99% | 28.18% | 30.83% |
| Both teams to score 46.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.05% | 79.95% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% | 64.37% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% | 35.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% | 71.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.83% |