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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Barrow |
| 55.35% | 24.65% | 20% |
| Both teams to score 46.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% | 54.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% | 75.64% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% | 19.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% | 51.42% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% | 78.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 5.17% 4-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.34% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.12% Total : 20% |