/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
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Tristan Abrahams
18'
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Joss Labadie
28'
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Joss Labadie
42'
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Padraig Amond
65'
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Scott Bennett
80'
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Toby Stevenson
17'
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Derek Agyakwa
40'
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Adalberto Penaranda
54'
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Adalberto Penaranda
62'
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Ignacio Pussetto
76'
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Stipe Perica
89'
Newport County vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F38%2Fwatwed.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result
Newport County
41.18%
Draw
27.29%
Watford
31.53%
Both Teams to Score:
49.17%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.82%
Under 2.5
56.18%
Over 3.5
22.76%
Under 3.5
77.24%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
73.16%
Under 0.5
26.84%
Over 1.5
37.86%
Under 1.5
62.14%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
67.21%
Under 0.5
32.79%
Over 1.5
30.64%
Under 1.5
69.35%
Score analysis
Newport County
41.17%
Draw
27.28%
Watford
31.53%
Newport County
1-0
@
11.57%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.17%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.17%
Draw
1-1
@
12.9%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.28%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.28%
Watford
0-1
@
9.81%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.53%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.53%