Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Sep 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Cathcart (11')
Wilmot (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on September 12, 2020

Aitor Karanka hails goalkeeper Zach Jeacock after win over Brentford

The 19-year-old is likely to make way for new signing Neil Etheridge.

Sep 12, 15:43

Boro boss Neil Warnock on September 11, 2020

Neil Warnock bemoans "Sunday league" defending in Middlesbrough loss to Watford

The Hornets beat Middlesbrough in the Championship opener thanks to Craig Cathcart's early header.

Sep 11, 22:13

The Match

Match Report

The defender found the net after 11 minutes to see off Middlesbrough.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship fixture between Watford and Middlesbrough, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Middlesbrough
33.73%	26.57%	39.7%

Both teams to score 51.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13%

52.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51%

74.48%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.67%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89%

26.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82%

61.17%

Score Analysis

Watford 33.73%

Middlesbrough 39.69%

Draw 26.57%

Watford	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.73%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.69%