Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

Middlesbrough logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Middlesbrough
4 - 3
Shrewsbury

Johnson (21'), Fletcher (31', 53'), Tavernier (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
High (13'), Cummings (60'), Pyke (73')
Williams (81')

The Match

Match Report

Boro progressed in the Carabao Cup at the expense of Shrewsbury.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawShrewsbury Town
41.37%27.49%31.14%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96%57.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07%77.93%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47%62.53%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48%33.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84%70.16%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 41.37%
    Shrewsbury Town 31.14%
    Draw 27.48%
MiddlesbroughDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.14%