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Championship | Gameweek 46
Jul 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Murphy (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McNair (22')

The Match

Match Report

The Owls' fate hinges on the outcome of an English Football League charge for breaking Financial Fair Play rules.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Middlesbrough, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMiddlesbrough
30.38%26.73%42.89%
Both teams to score 50.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58%54.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21%75.79%
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3%32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75%69.25%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86%25.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15%59.84%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 30.38%
    Middlesbrough 42.89%
    Draw 26.72%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.89%