Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 3
Cardiff

Assombalonga (85')
Saville (1'), Friend (19'), Howson (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morrison (4'), Murphy (47', 81')
Morrison (84'), Bacuna (90')

Reaction

Cardiff manager Neil Harris licks his lips on February 15, 2020

Neil Harris hails Cardiff character as Bluebirds close in on playoff berth

Only fierce rivals Swansea can now deny Cardiff a place in the top six.

Jul 18, 17:22

The Match

Match Report

Josh Murphy netted two of the Bluebirds' goals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
39.13%	26.98%	33.88%

Both teams to score 50.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51%

54.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15%

75.84%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82%

27.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42%

62.57%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66%

30.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48%

66.52%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 39.12%

Cardiff City 33.88%

Draw 26.98%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.88%