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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 32.57% | 26.03% | 41.4% |
| Both teams to score 53.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.11% | 50.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.23% | 72.77% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% | 24.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.57% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.4% |