Arsenal vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.