Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

Jul 12, 2020 at 4.30pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
2 - 1
Arsenal

Heung-min (19'), Alderweireld (81')
Lo Celso (16'), Aurier (34'), Davies (45+2'), Winks (76'), Bergwijn (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lacazette (16')
Lacazette (45'), Pepe (61'), Saka (90')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur's Toby Alderweireld celebrates scoring against Arsenal in the Premier League on July 12, 2020

Toby Alderweireld determined to help Tottenham back into Champions League

The Belgian scored the winner in Sunday's north London derby.

Jul 13, 22:01

Toby Alderweireld: 'Arsenal win can be a turning point for Tottenham Hotspur'

Tottenham are currently eighth in the Premier League with three matches remaining.

Jul 13, 11:11

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on July 6, 2020

Jose Mourinho sets sights on winning Europa League with Tottenham Hotspur

Jose Mourinho has already won the Europa League and the competition in its former guise as the UEFA Cup twice with Manchester United and Porto.

Jul 13, 08:02

Jose Mourinho would welcome Europa League football

The Portuguese has won Europe's second-tier competition twice before.

Jul 12, 20:07

Jose Mourinho delighted with players for adapting to tactical changes against Arsenal

Jose Mourinho saw his side come from behind to claim the three points which saw them leapfrog the Gunners in the Premier League table and into eighth.

Jul 12, 18:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Arsenal
40.15%	25.39%	34.45%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09%

69.91%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46%

23.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41%

57.59%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.32%

26.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.07%

61.92%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 40.15%

Arsenal 34.45%

Draw 25.39%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.45%