Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

Jul 21, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Arsenal

Trezeguet (27')
Luiz (71'), Targett (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torreira (35'), Lacazette (61'), Kolasinac (80'), Willock (90+1')

Reaction

Arsenal midfielder Granit Xhaka pictured on June 25, 2020

Granit Xhaka questions Arsenal mentality after Aston Villa defeat

The Gunners will finish outside of the top six for the first time since 1995.

Jul 22, 10:55

Jack Grealish warms up for Aston Villa on July 9, 2020

Jack Grealish: 'Keeping Aston Villa up would mean everything'

Villa are in the box seat to stay in the Premier League.

Jul 22, 07:43

Aston Villa manager Dean Smith pictured on July 21, 2020

Dean Smith hails "heroic" Aston Villa display after moving out of bottom three

Villa go to West Ham on Sunday front runners for Premier League survival.

Jul 22, 07:29

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
28.3%	25.01%	46.69%

Both teams to score 54.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57%

48.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44%

70.56%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87%

31.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55%

67.45%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22%

20.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57%

53.43%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 28.3%

Arsenal 46.69%

Draw 25.01%

Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 7.55% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.3%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.69%