Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
28.3% | 25.01% | 46.69% |
Both teams to score 54.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.57% | 48.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.44% | 70.56% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% | 31.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.55% | 67.45% |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% | 20.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% | 53.43% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 7.55% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.3% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |