Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 30.4% | 24.31% | 45.29% |
| Both teams to score 58.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% | 44.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% | 66.57% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% | 63% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% | 19.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% | 51.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 5.01% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.29% |