Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Jun 25, 2020 at 6pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 2
Arsenal

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nketiah (20'), Willock (87')
Mustafi (11'), Saka (48')

Reaction

Arsenal midfielder Granit Xhaka pictured on June 25, 2020

Granit Xhaka admits Arsenal "had to win" against Southampton

Both Arsenal goals at St Mary's came following errors from Saints goalkeeper Alex McCarthy.

Jun 26, 11:16

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on June 25, 2020

Mikel Arteta denies Matteo Guendouzi omission was due to questions over attitude

The midfielder was involved in a confrontation at the end of Arsenal's defeat to Brighton.

Jun 25, 23:05

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Arsenal
36.88%	25.82%	37.29%

Both teams to score 54.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61%

49.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56%

71.43%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94%

26.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9%

61.1%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18%

25.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22%

60.78%

Score Analysis

Southampton 36.88%

Arsenal 37.29%

Draw 25.82%

Southampton	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.88%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.29%