Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 50.64% | 25.02% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% | 51.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% | 73.15% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% | 20.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% | 52.63% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.34% |