Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 40.33% | 25.84% | 33.83% |
| Both teams to score 54.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% | 49.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% | 71.79% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% | 24.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% | 58.78% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% | 63.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.83% |