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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Jul 12, 2020 at 2.15pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Crystal Palace

Trezeguet (45+4', 59')
Mings (27'), Luiz (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zaha (27'), Sakho (27'), Kouyate (54'), Milivojevic (67')

The Match

Match Report

Dean Smith's side are four points from safety with three games remaining.

Team News

Pepe Reina should be fit to face Crystal Palace.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
40.33%25.84%33.83%
Both teams to score 54.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21%49.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21%71.79%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22%58.78%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95%28.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29%63.71%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.33%
    Crystal Palace 33.83%
    Draw 25.83%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.83%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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