Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

Jul 17, 2020 at 8pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
3 - 1
Watford

Antonio (6'), Soucek (10'), Rice (36')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Deeney (49')
Cleverley (9'), Hughes (35')

Reaction

Watford manager Nigel Pearson pictured on June 25, 2020

Nigel Pearson urges Watford to bounce back from "annoying" missed opportunity

The Hornets sit three points above the relegation zone after a defeat to West Ham.

Jul 18, 13:33

West Ham boss David Moyes makes clear he is in charge on July 17, 2020

David Moyes: 'West Ham now in a really strong position'

Watford remain only three points above the relegation zone.

Jul 17, 22:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Watford
43.62%	26.4%	29.97%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71%

53.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16%

74.84%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73%

24.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37%

58.63%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58%

32.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07%

68.93%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 43.62%

Watford 29.98%

Draw 26.39%

West Ham United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.62%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.98%