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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newport County |
| 44.52% | 26.49% | 28.99% |
| Both teams to score 50.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% | 54.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% | 75.51% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% | 58.5% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% | 33.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% | 70.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.99% |