Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 33.24% | 28.28% | 38.48% |
| Both teams to score 46.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.52% | 59.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.16% | 79.84% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% | 33.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% | 69.93% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% | 66.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.23% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.48% |