Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Burnley |
81.47% | 12.53% | 6% |
Both teams to score 43.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.82% | 35.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.8% | 57.2% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% | 6.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.52% | 24.48% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.75% | 87.25% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 13.14% 3-0 @ 11.93% 1-0 @ 9.66% 4-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-1 @ 5.01% 5-0 @ 4.42% 5-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.27% 6-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.55% 6-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.92% Total : 81.46% | 1-1 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 3.55% 2-2 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.52% Total : 12.53% | 0-1 @ 2.19% 1-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.98% Total : 6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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