Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki

Olympiacos
0 - 1
Man City

Rafinha (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Foden (36')
Sterling (39'), Dias (54'), Gundogan (86')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on October 17, 2020

Pep Guardiola: 'Our attention is now firmly on Premier League'

Manchester City advanced through their group for an eighth successive year.

Nov 26, 08:27

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on November 8, 2020

Pep Guardiola delighted with "incredible group stage"

City's European form has been impressive with four successive victories and progress was assured with two Group C games to spare.

Nov 25, 21:04

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.66%) and 0-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Manchester City
32.49%	21.62%	45.88%

Both teams to score 69.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.87%

30.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.65%

51.34%

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56%

19.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72%

51.27%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05%

13.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.59%

41.41%

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 32.49%

Manchester City 45.88%

Draw 21.62%

Olympiacos	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.85% 2-0 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.58% 4-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.29% Total : 32.49%	1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 7.06% 0-0 @ 2.71% 3-3 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 5.66% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.7% 3-4 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.8% Total : 45.88%