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Champions League

Porto
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Olympiacos

Porto
2 - 0
Olympiacos

Vieira (11'), Oliveira (85')
Corona (61'), Uribe (82'), Manafa (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fortounis (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Olympiacos, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawOlympiacos
48.71%23.12%28.17%
Both teams to score 60.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97%40.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61%62.39%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46%46.54%
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77%62.23%
Score Analysis
    Porto 48.71%
    Olympiacos 28.17%
    Draw 23.12%
PortoDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.17%