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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Southampton logo

Newcastle
3 - 2
Southampton

Willock (16'), Almiron (26', 45+4')
Hendrick (11'), Krafth (45+3')
Hendrick (50')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Minamino (30'), Ward-Prowse (48')
Bednarek (73')

The Match

Match Report

The Magpies had Jeff Hendrick sent off and lost Fabian Schar to injury.

Team News

Loan signing Joe Willock could make his Magpies debut against Southampton, who could call on Oriol Romeu, Jannik Vestergaard and Takumi Minamino.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
37.33%25.46%37.2%
Both teams to score 56.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23%47.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04%69.96%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27%59.73%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87%25.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17%59.83%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.33%
    Southampton 37.2%
    Draw 25.46%
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.2%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton

Newcastle United
34.5%
Draw
33.6%
Southampton
31.9%
113
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Southampton
2-0
Newcastle
Adams (7'), Armstrong (82')
Romeu (27')

Fernandez (43'), Longstaff (90')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Apr 20, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Perez (27', 31', 86')
Lemina (59')
Ward-Prowse (23'), Romeu (62')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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