Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Miguel Almiron 57' goal
  • Fabian Schar 87' yellowcard
  • goal Raphinha 17'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 54'
  • goal Jack Harrison 61'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo 87'
  • yellowcard Jack Harrison 90'+1'

Newcastle United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2021 8.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
Leeds 0 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Patrick Bamford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 17.58%
Draw 21.45%
Leeds United 60.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.33%
Under 2.5 44.67%
Over 3.5 32.97%
Under 3.5 67.03%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 61.04%
Under 0.5 38.96%
Over 1.5 24.32%
Under 1.5 75.68%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 85.83%
Under 0.5 14.17%
Over 1.5 58.15%
Under 1.5 41.85%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 17.58%
Draw 21.44%
Leeds United 60.97%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 5.2%
2-1 @ 4.79%
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.44%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 10.78%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 6.47%
0-4 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 3.05%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 60.97%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Dec 16, 2020 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick Bamford 35' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 37' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 48' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 61' goal
  • Raphinha 67' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 77' goal
  • Ezgjan Alioski 85' goal
  • Jack Harrison 88' goal
  • goal Jeff Hendrick 26'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 50'
  • goal Ciaran Clark 65'
Championship
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamaal Lascelles 67' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 93' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 52'
  • yellowcard Kyle Bartley 54'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 75'
  • goal Chris Wood 95'
Championship
Nov 20, 2016 1.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pontus Jansson 44' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Gayle 23'
  • goal Dwight Gayle 54'
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 59'
League Cup
Sep 25, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Papiss Cisse 31' goal
  • Yoan Gouffran 66' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Mowatt 84'
Premier League
Jan 7, 2004 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alan Shearer 4' goal
  • yellowcard Garry Kelly 45'
Premier League
Aug 17, 2003 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jason Wilcox 21' yellowcard
  • Mark Viduka 24' goal
  • Seth Johnson 35' yellowcard
  • Alan Smith 57' goal
  • Jody Morris 67' yellowcard
  • Didier Domi 71' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Shearer 20'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Woodgate 42'
  • goal Alan Shearer 88'
  • yellowcard Craig Bellamy 90'