Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 49.48% | 23.01% | 27.51% |
| Both teams to score 60.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% | 39.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.65% | 62.35% |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% | 16.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.98% | 46.01% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% | 62.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 5.73% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.51% |