Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 27, 2020 at 12pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 0
Burnley

Bamford (5' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers' Romain Saiss celebrates scoring against Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on December 27, 2020

PL roundup: Liverpool and Tottenham held as Leeds eke out win

Sadio Mane had given the champions an early lead.

Dec 27, 21:43

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured in November 2020

"Incredibly frustrated" Sean Dyche bemoans two key decisions in Leeds defeat

Patrick Bamford's fifth-minute penalty proved decisive after he was adjudged to have been fouled by Burnley goalkeeper Nick Pope.

Dec 27, 16:24

The Match

Match Report

Patrick Bamford converted his 10th league goal of the season from the spot in the fifth minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Burnley
65.51%	20.38%	14.11%

Both teams to score 47.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46%

46.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.18%

68.82%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61%

13.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69%

40.31%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34%

44.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34%

80.66%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 65.5%

Burnley 14.11%

Draw 20.38%

Leeds United	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 12.08% 1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 6.53% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.75% Total : 65.5%	1-1 @ 9.69% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.38%	0-1 @ 4.82% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.06% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.11%