Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 54.57% | 22.87% | 22.56% |
| Both teams to score 55.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% | 44.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% | 66.41% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% | 33.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% | 70.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.57% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-1 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.29% Total : 22.56% |