Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 1
Chelsea

Reid (69'), Lookman (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mount (78')
Ziyech (72'), Silva (82'), Azpilicueta (90+4')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on January 9, 2021

Chelsea boss Frank Lampard hails "outstanding" Mason Mount after Fulham winner

Mount scored the only goal of the game in the west London derby.

Jan 16, 21:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Chelsea
23.51%	23.21%	53.29%

Both teams to score 55.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52%

44.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15%

66.85%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13%

32.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56%

69.44%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34%

16.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.49%

46.51%

Score Analysis

Fulham 23.51%

Chelsea 53.29%

Draw 23.2%

Fulham	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 6.09% 2-1 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.51%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.25% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.29%